Prediction Sheet 1 — High-Yield Topic Pool

Evidence from all five recalled sittings — Jun 2024, Dec 2024, Jun 2025, Dec 2025, May 2026 · 822 questions scanned · each topic shows which papers tested it, plus its trigger, discriminator and trap · tap a subject to open it

100Topics
17Seen in all 5 papers
55Seen in 3+ papers
94/100Matched to papers
14Subjects
Evidence 3+ papers2 papers 1 paperPrediction onlyNot in past papers
TopicEvidenceSeen inTriggerRecognition triggerKey discriminatorMain trap
1Aortic dissection Dec25 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Sudden tearing chest/back pain + BP difference between armsCT angiography for diagnosis; Type A surgery, Type B IV beta-blockerTreating as MI based on chest pain alone
3Rheumatoid arthritis Seen in 4 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Symmetric MCP/PIP pain + morning stiffness >1 hourAnti-CCP is the best confirming test when askedMistaking shoulder pain or age for OA
4Osteoarthritis Seen in 4 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Elderly + DIP Heberden nodes + pain worse with useDIP involvement strongly favors OAConfusing PIP Bouchard nodes with RA
6IgA nephropathy Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Hematuria during or immediately after URTISynpharyngitic hematuria, often normal C3Post-strep GN timing
13Esophageal varices Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Cirrhosis/portal HTN + hematemesisEndoscopic band ligation; vasoactive bridge may be terlipressin/octreotideMallory-Weiss or PPI-only answer
14H. pylori eradication confirmation May26 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Treated PUD after triple therapyUrea breath test for eradicationSerology, endoscopy, barium
15IBS Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Chronic abdominal pain relieved by defecation + normal workupNo red flags; stress worsensIBD when there is no blood/weight loss
16Chronic bronchitis Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Smoker + productive cough for 2 yearsProductive cough >=3 months/year for 2 yearsAsthma or bronchiectasis
17Pleural effusion vs collapse Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Dullness with tracheal shiftEffusion pushes trachea away; collapse pulls towardPneumothorax if percussion note ignored
18Goodpasture syndrome Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Hemoptysis + hematuria/RBC castsAnti-GBM pulmonary-renal syndromeGPA/Wegener without ENT/sinus clue
19Cushing syndrome Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Purple striae + proximal weakness + HTN + eosinopeniaCortisol excessAddison, hypothyroid, diabetes
20Hypocalcaemia Dec25 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Tetany + Chvostek/TrousseauLow calciumMagnesium or potassium reflex answer
21Hyperparathyroidism Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Bone/renal symptoms or early biochemical clueEarly hypophosphatemia; later hypercalcemiaChoosing PTH/hypercalcemia for earliest abnormality
22Parkinson disease Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Resting tremor + rigidity + bradykinesia + shuffling gaitResting tremor; substantia nigra dopamine lossEssential tremor/intention tremor
23Myasthenia gravis Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Ptosis/diplopia worse at day end, improves with restPyridostigmine for symptomatic treatmentGBS or Lambert-Eaton
24Guillain-Barre syndrome Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Ascending weakness after infection + areflexiaAcute inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathyMyasthenia or MS
25Amaurosis fugax / TIA Prediction only — Transient monocular blindnessRetinal artery embolic TIATreating as completed stroke only
26AML May26 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Auer rods + MPO positive +/- gum hyperplasiaAuer rods = AMLALL because of blasts
27CML Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Massive splenomegaly + myeloid left shiftBCR-ABL / Philadelphia chromosomeCLL or myelofibrosis
28Iron deficiency anemia Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Microcytic hypochromic anemia + low ferritinLow ferritin + high TIBCThalassemia trait
29B12 deficiency Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Macrocytosis + glossitis + posterior column signsPernicious anemia if Schilling/intrinsic factor clueFolate deficiency
30Gout Seen in 4 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Sudden painful red first MTPPodagraRA/OA
91Doubling time Dec25 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Population growth rate givenRule of 70Exact arithmetic trap
92Study design Syllabus core — Groups receive surgery vs diet/interventionRandomized controlled trial if assigned interventionCohort because groups are followed
93Data presentation Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Percentages/proportions askedPie chartBar chart when parts of whole
94Median/biostatistics basics Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Skewed data or middle valueMedianMean
TopicEvidenceSeen inTriggerRecognition triggerKey discriminatorMain trap
9Testicular torsion Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Sudden severe testicular pain + high-riding testis + absent cremasteric reflexUrgent surgical exploration if Doppler unavailableWaiting for imaging
10Perforated peptic ulcer Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Sudden severe abdominal pain + board-like rigidity + free airExploratory laparotomy / surgical managementPPI or endoscopy as definitive step
11Esophageal carcinoma Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Progressive dysphagia solids first then liquids + weight lossMechanical obstruction patternAchalasia
12Achalasia Seen in 4 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Dysphagia to liquids and solids + bird-beakFunctional obstruction; manometry/endoscopy depending wordingCancer when liquids are involved early
41Femoral hernia location Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Groin swelling below pubic tubercleBelow and lateral to pubic tubercleInguinal hernia locations
42Direct inguinal hernia Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Hernia through Hesselbach triangleDirect inguinalIndirect hernia
43Thyroglossal duct cyst Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Midline neck swelling moves with tongue protrusionThyroglossal duct cystThyroid nodule/branchial cyst
44Breast carcinoma severity/workup Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Hard irregular lump, skin changes, nodesTriple assessment; lymph nodes worsen prognosisFibroadenoma/reassurance
45Fibroadenoma Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Young woman + painless mobile breast lumpReassurance/follow-up if classic small lesionMastectomy/cancer management
46Intraductal papilloma Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Bloody nipple discharge from single duct, no lumpIntraductal papillomaBreast carcinoma
47Acute appendicitis Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Periumbilical pain migrates to RIF + reboundAppendectomy/definitive surgical managementAntibiotics only
48Tension pneumothorax Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Hypotension + tracheal deviation + absent breath soundsNeedle decompression before CXRWaiting for imaging
49Burns escharotomy Jun25 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Circumferential burn + weak pulses + paresthesiaEscharotomyFasciotomy or fluids only
50Pelvic fracture shock Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Pelvic fracture + shockInternal hemorrhage/blood lossFat embolism/head injury
51Gallstone disease / cholangitis Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 RUQ pain + fever + jaundice + CBD stoneUrgent ERCP if septic cholangitisCholecystectomy first
52Pancreatic pseudocyst Dec25 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Epigastric mass 4-6 weeks after pancreatitisPseudocyst without feverAbscess/cancer
TopicEvidenceSeen inTriggerRecognition triggerKey discriminatorMain trap
5Post-streptococcal GN Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Cola urine + periorbital edema 1-3 weeks after sore throatLatent period after infection + low C3IgA nephropathy, which occurs during URTI
7Epiglottitis Seen in 4 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Toxic child + drooling + tripod + thumb signSecure airway first in controlled settingExamining throat or delaying for imaging
63Down syndrome Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Upslanting eyes + single palmar creaseTrisomy 21; VSD/AV canal associationsPatau/Edwards
64Erb palsy Seen in 4 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Newborn after difficult delivery + waiter's tipC5-C6 upper trunkKlumpke palsy
65Severe dehydration Seen in 4 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Drowsy child with profuse diarrhea/vomiting unable to drinkIV Ringer lactateORS when severe
66Neonatal CPR ratio Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Newborn resuscitation compression:ventilation3:1Adult/pediatric ratios
67Vitamin K deficiency bleeding Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Newborn bleeding, no prophylaxisVitamin K deficiencyHemophilia
68Rickets May26 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Bowed legs + rachitic rosary + low Ca/phosphate + high ALPVitamin D deficiencyRenal failure/excess calcium
69Croup Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Barking cough + steeple sign + non-toxicNebulized adrenaline/steroids depending severityEpiglottitis
70Autism Dec25 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Poor eye contact + hand flapping + delayed speechAutism spectrum disorderCP/ADHD
TopicEvidenceSeen inTriggerRecognition triggerKey discriminatorMain trap
2Anti-D immunoglobulin Seen in 4 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Rh-negative mother + Rh-positive baby or sensitising eventGive anti-D within 72 hoursChoosing 24h/48h/96h instead of 72h
53Placenta previa Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Painless bright red antepartum bleeding + soft uterusAvoid PV exam until placenta location known; CS if major/lateAbruption
54Placental abruption Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Painful bleeding + tender rigid uterus + fetal distressPain and uterine tendernessPlacenta previa
55Ectopic pregnancy Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Amenorrhea + abdominal pain + bleeding + shockRule out first in reproductive-age acute abdomenPID/miscarriage without pregnancy test
56Severe pre-eclampsia / HELLP Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 BP >=160/110 + proteinuria + headache/epigastric pain +/- low plateletsMgSO4 for seizure prophylaxis; delivery depending gestation/stabilitySimple gestational HTN
57Gestational diabetes Seen in 4 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Pregnancy 24-28 weeks / glucosuriaOGTTRandom glucose/urine glucose
58Preterm labor steroids/neuroprotection Dec25 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Preterm contractions with cervical dilationBetamethasone for lung maturity; MgSO4 for neuroprotection if very pretermContinuing tocolysis as fetal outcome drug
TopicEvidenceSeen inTriggerRecognition triggerKey discriminatorMain trap
59PCOS Jun24 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Infertility + obesity + hirsutism + irregular cyclesHyperandrogenism + polycystic ovariesEndometriosis/hyperprolactinemia
60Androgen insensitivity Syllabus core — Primary amenorrhea + blind vagina + absent uterus + 46XY + normal breastsTesticular feminization/AISMullerian agenesis if karyotype is 46XX
61Abnormal uterine bleeding in adolescence Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Heavy bleeding since menarche, pregnancy/coag normalAnovulatory cycles most commonFibroid/cancer
62GTN Syllabus core — High beta-hCG + bleeding after pregnancy/molar featuresSerial beta-hCG follow-upNormal miscarriage follow-up
TopicEvidenceSeen inTriggerRecognition triggerKey discriminatorMain trap
8Nasal foreign body Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Child + unilateral foul-smelling/blood-stained nasal dischargeForeign body until proven otherwiseTreating as sinusitis
98Otic barotrauma Dec25 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Ear pain/fullness after airplane travel + retracted congested TMBarotraumaAOM/cholesteatoma
99Retropharyngeal abscess Dec25 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Child + fever + neck stiffness + pharyngeal abscessRetropharyngeal spaceSubmandibular/parapharyngeal
TopicEvidenceSeen inTriggerRecognition triggerKey discriminatorMain trap
71Acute angle-closure glaucoma Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Painful red eye + halos + fixed mid-dilated pupilLower IOP urgently; pilocarpine may appear after pressure loweredConjunctivitis
72Vernal keratoconjunctivitis Dec25 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Child + severe itching in summer + cobblestone papillaeSpring catarrhBacterial/viral conjunctivitis
73Endophthalmitis Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Severe pain/redness/hypopyon 1 day after cataract surgeryPost-op endophthalmitisLens reaction
74Amblyopia from strabismus Dec24 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Child with long-standing squint + reduced vision, normal structuresAmblyopiaCataract/glaucoma
TopicEvidenceSeen inTriggerRecognition triggerKey discriminatorMain trap
95Kerosene ingestion Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Child ingests keroseneAspiration pneumonitis/bronchopneumoniaGastric lavage/toxicity focus
96Rigor mortis timing Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Rigor distribution after deathEstimate PMI from progressionTreating rigor as instant
97Organophosphate poisoning Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Salivation, lacrimation, bronchorrhea, miosisAtropine + pralidoximeNaloxone/benzodiazepine
TopicEvidenceSeen inTriggerRecognition triggerKey discriminatorMain trap
35Warfarin reversal Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Warfarin + high INR +/- bleedingOral vitamin K for high INR/no major bleed; PCC/FFP if major bleedProtamine
36Paracetamol overdose Dec25 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Child ingests paracetamolN-acetylcysteine if toxic risk/levelObservation when risk remains unclear
37Benzodiazepine antidote Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Sedation + normal pupils + ataxiaFlumazenilNaloxone
38Phenytoin adverse effects Seen in 4 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Gingival hyperplasia + hirsutismPhenytoin signatureCarbamazepine/valproate
39Wernicke encephalopathy Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Alcoholic + confusion + ataxia + ophthalmoplegiaThiamine before glucoseGiving glucose first
40ACE inhibitor in diabetic nephropathy Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 DM + HTN + microalbuminuria/proteinuriaACEi/ARB renal protectionCCB/thiazide as generic HTN answer
TopicEvidenceSeen inTriggerRecognition triggerKey discriminatorMain trap
81Hypersensitivity types Seen in 4 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Asked to classify TB, PSGN, AIHA, contact dermatitisI, II, III, IV examples coldType III vs IV
82Barrett esophagus Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Chronic GERD + squamous to columnar changeMetaplasia, premalignantDysplasia/hyperplasia
83Acute inflammation mediator Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Immediate vascular permeabilityHistamineProstaglandins/cytokines
84Marjolin ulcer Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Chronic burn scar ulcer becomes raised non-healing noduleSCC in scar; wide local excisionVenous/diabetic ulcer
85TTP vs DIC Dec25 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 MAHA + thrombocytopenia; coag profile askedTTP normal PT/APTT; DIC prolongedTreating all MAHA as DIC
TopicEvidenceSeen inTriggerRecognition triggerKey discriminatorMain trap
75Common peroneal nerve Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Fibular neck injury + foot dropCommon peroneal nerveSciatic nerve
76Radial nerve Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Midshaft humerus fracture + wrist dropRadial nerveAxillary nerve
77Axillary nerve Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Surgical neck humerus + deltoid weakness + regimental badge numbnessAxillary nerveRadial nerve
78Anterior interosseous nerve Prediction only — Supracondylar fracture + cannot make OK signAIN branch of median nerveUlnar or radial nerve
79Facial nerve lesion level Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Facial palsy + hyperacusisLesion proximal to nerve to stapediusStylomastoid foramen lesion
80Brainstem crossed syndrome Dec25 only Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Ipsilateral cranial nerve palsy + contralateral hemiplegiaBrainstem lesionInternal capsule/cortex
TopicEvidenceSeen inTriggerRecognition triggerKey discriminatorMain trap
86Metabolic alkalosis from vomiting Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Vomiting + high pH + high HCO3 + low ClMetabolic alkalosisRespiratory alkalosis
87High altitude response Syllabus core — Shift to high altitudeHyperventilation lowers pCO2Assuming CO2 rises
88Pancreatic bicarbonate secretion Seen in 4 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 High flow pancreatic secretionHCO3-rich ductal secretionChloride
89Resting membrane/action potential ions Seen in 4 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Resting potential/depolarization askedResting = K; depolarization = Na influxMixing phases
90Shock hemodynamics Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Compare anaphylactic/hypovolemic/cardiogenic shockAnaphylaxis low SVR; cardiogenic low COTreating all shock as low CO
TopicEvidenceSeen inTriggerRecognition triggerKey discriminatorMain trap
31CAP organism Seen in 5 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Most common CAP organismStreptococcus pneumoniaeH. influenzae as second common
32Meningitis investigation Seen in 3 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Fever + neck stiffness/bulging fontanelleLumbar puncture if no raised ICP contraindicationBlood CP/culture as confirmation
33ATT adverse effects Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 ATT + joint pains/hyperuricemiaPyrazinamideINH or rifampicin
34Measles Seen in 4 of 5 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Fever + cough/coryza/conjunctivitis + Koplik spotsKoplik spotsRubella/scarlet fever
TopicEvidenceSeen inTriggerRecognition triggerKey discriminatorMain trap
100Psoriasis Seen in 2 papers Jun24Dec24Jun25Dec25May26 Extensor plaques + silvery scales + nail pittingPsoriasisTinea/eczema